Correlation

Signals raised in different tools that look like the same underlying problem. Each group shows why it formed, not just that it did - and anything that didn't link is listed too, because a correlation tool that links everything is worse than one that doesn't.

Real (Live) and synthetic signals are never correlated with each other - a group marked Live contains only real records.

Threshold
Two signals link when their weighted confidence reaches the threshold. Confidence is 20% service area, 20% timing (opened within 4h of each other) and 60% text similarity. Change it and the groups re-form instantly - no re-scoring needed.
70%

5 correlation groups

2 signals, 1 likely root causespanning Jira and Rootly
Live97% confidence

Suggested root cause - AI-generated, unverified

A stale DNS resolver cache on the API gateway fleet caused intermittent lookup failures surfacing as sporadic 502s to partner callers.

  • JiraKAN-4Intermittent 502s reported via partner integrations hitting the API gatewayMediumOpen
  • Rootly7[Demo] Intermittent DNS resolution failures on the API gatewayHighInvestigating

When each was open

  • Rootly
  • Jira
16d 3h agonow

What matched

Service areaExact match · weight 20%

partner api

Time window223 of 240 min shared · weight 20%

Least-overlapping pair in the group

Text similarityClaude97% · weight 60%

Average across pairs

Confidence is the weighted blend of these three - 20% service area + 20% timing + 60% text - averaged over the group's pairs: 97%. A group forms when confidence reaches the threshold.

Pair by pair

PairAreaOverlapTextConfidence
KAN-4 ↔ 7exact223 min97% (claude)97%
3 signals, 1 likely root causespanning Incident Platform, Partner Channel and Service Desk
90% confidence

Suggested root cause - AI-generated, unverified

The settlement batch job terminated before processing all partitions, so the report covers only part of the merchants.

  • Incident PlatformINC-204Settlement batch job exceeded runtime and was terminatedHighInvestigating
  • Partner ChannelPC-303Kestrel Logistics: yesterday's settlement file has not arrivedMediumOpen
  • Service DeskSD-103Finance ops: nightly settlement report incompleteMediumOpen

When each was open

  • Incident Platform
  • Service Desk
  • Partner Channel
10h 55m agonow

What matched

Service areaExact match · weight 20%

payments

Time window195 of 240 min shared · weight 20%

Least-overlapping pair in the group

Text similarityClaude87% · weight 60%

Average across pairs

Confidence is the weighted blend of these three - 20% service area + 20% timing + 60% text - averaged over the group's pairs: 90%. A group forms when confidence reaches the threshold.

Pair by pair

PairAreaOverlapTextConfidence
SD-103 ↔ INC-204exact225 min90% (claude)93%
INC-204 ↔ PC-303exact195 min90% (claude)90%
SD-103 ↔ PC-303exact210 min80% (claude)86%
3 signals, 1 likely root causespanning Incident Platform, Security Operations and Service Desk
89% confidence

Suggested root cause - AI-generated, unverified

Both records track the same detected surge of failed sign-ins from unrecognised locations, handed from the security alert into incident management.

  • Incident PlatformINC-206Security incident: suspected credential-stuffing against customer sign-inHighInvestigating
  • Security OperationsSEC-401Alert: spike in failed sign-ins from unrecognised locations across many accountsHighInvestigating
  • Service DeskSD-106Customers locked out after repeated sign-in attempts they did not makeHighOpen

When each was open

  • Security Operations
  • Incident Platform
  • Service Desk
1h 40m agonow

What matched

Service areaRelated areas · weight 20%

authentication ↔ identity

Time window210 of 240 min shared · weight 20%

Least-overlapping pair in the group

Text similarityClaude95% · weight 60%

Average across pairs

Confidence is the weighted blend of these three - 20% service area + 20% timing + 60% text - averaged over the group's pairs: 89%. A group forms when confidence reaches the threshold.

Pair by pair

PairAreaOverlapTextConfidence
INC-206 ↔ SEC-401exact235 min97% (claude)98%
SD-106 ↔ INC-206related215 min95% (claude)85%
SD-106 ↔ SEC-401related210 min93% (claude)83%
2 signals, 1 likely root causespanning Incident Platform and Service Desk
86% confidence

Suggested root cause - AI-generated, unverified

Degraded SMS delivery through the messaging provider caused missing or delayed login passcodes.

  • Incident PlatformINC-203Elevated failure rate sending SMS one-time passcodes through messaging providerHighResolved
  • Service DeskSD-102Customers not receiving one-time passcodes at loginHighResolved

When each was open

  • Service Desk
  • Incident Platform
20h 30m agonow

What matched

Service areaRelated areas · weight 20%

authentication ↔ identity

Time window225 of 240 min shared · weight 20%

Least-overlapping pair in the group

Text similarityClaude95% · weight 60%

Average across pairs

Confidence is the weighted blend of these three - 20% service area + 20% timing + 60% text - averaged over the group's pairs: 86%. A group forms when confidence reaches the threshold.

Pair by pair

PairAreaOverlapTextConfidence
SD-102 ↔ INC-203related225 min95% (claude)86%
5 signals, 1 likely root causespanning Incident Platform, Partner Channel and Service Desk
83% confidence

Suggested root cause - AI-generated, unverified

Slow partner portal application-submit path is causing both the latency alert and the partner's multi-minute submissions.

  • Incident PlatformINC-201P2 — elevated latency on partner-facing API gatewayHighInvestigating
  • Incident PlatformINC-202Synthetic check failing: partner portal submit endpoint p95 above 8sMediumInvestigating
  • Partner ChannelPC-301Meridian Retail: customer applications taking minutes to submitHighOpen
  • Partner ChannelPC-302Halcyon Travel: booking applications timing out at final stepMediumOpen
  • Service DeskSD-101Users reporting slow application submission on partner portalHighInvestigating

When each was open

  • Service Desk
  • Incident Platform
  • Partner Channel
  • Incident Platform
  • Partner Channel
3h 20m agonow

What matched

Service areaRelated areas · weight 20%

partner api ↔ partner portal

Time window190 of 240 min shared · weight 20%

Least-overlapping pair in the group

Text similarityClaude81% · weight 60%

Average across pairs

Confidence is the weighted blend of these three - 20% service area + 20% timing + 60% text - averaged over the group's pairs: 83%. A group forms when confidence reaches the threshold.

Pair by pair

PairAreaOverlapTextConfidence
INC-202 ↔ PC-301exact228 min90% (claude)93%
SD-101 ↔ PC-301exact212 min90% (claude)92%
SD-101 ↔ INC-202exact200 min90% (claude)91%
INC-202 ↔ PC-302exact230 min75% (claude)84%
SD-101 ↔ INC-201related225 min85% (claude)80%
SD-101 ↔ PC-302exact190 min70% (claude)78%
INC-201 ↔ PC-301related227 min80% (claude)77%
INC-201 ↔ PC-302related205 min65% (claude)66%

Problem candidates

Two or more separate groups in the same service (or the same family of services) that describe similar things, which points at a cause worth finding rather than another fix. Similar means at least 20% of the distinctive words in common, a plain wording check that is weaker than the similarity used inside a group, so it can miss a recurrence and never invents one. Only synthetic groups count.

None right now: no two of the 5 active groups share a service and enough wording to look like the same recurring problem.

Considered, not linked

The strongest pairs that did not become a link at 70%, and why. A further 14 signals had no candidate partner at all - no signal from another source in a related area within 4h.

  • Incident PlatformINC-201Partner ChannelPC-304
    43% confidence

    P2 — elevated latency on partner-facing API gatewayBrightwater Foods: request for updated API documentation

    Not linked: The wording doesn't match - text similarity is only 5%, so the two records look like different problems. (One of the two is part of another group.)

  • Incident PlatformINC-202Partner ChannelPC-304
    34% confidence

    Synthetic check failing: partner portal submit endpoint p95 above 8sBrightwater Foods: request for updated API documentation

    Not linked: The wording doesn't match - text similarity is only 10%, so the two records look like different problems. (One of the two is part of another group.)

  • Service DeskSD-105Incident PlatformINC-203
    32% confidence

    Customer asks how to change the address on their profileElevated failure rate sending SMS one-time passcodes through messaging provider

    Not linked: The wording doesn't match - text similarity is only 5%, so the two records look like different problems. (One of the two is part of another group.)

  • Service DeskSD-101Partner ChannelPC-304
    32% confidence

    Users reporting slow application submission on partner portalBrightwater Foods: request for updated API documentation

    Not linked: The wording doesn't match - text similarity is only 5%, so the two records look like different problems. (One of the two is part of another group.)